Match

Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21: prediction and stats

Liga MX U21Regular Season - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Tigres UANL U21Toluca U21

The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tigres UANL U21. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toluca U21 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Tigres UANL U21 (1,500) and Toluca U21 (1,591).

34%27%39%
Tigres UANL U21 winDrawToluca U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tigres UANL U21

Not enough data to predict the Tigres UANL U21 lineup.

Toluca U21

Not enough data to predict the Toluca U21 lineup.

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres UANL U21 have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca U21 have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tigres UANL U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Puebla U21(home)1-1Liga MX U21
Sep 18, 2026Juarez U21(away)1-1Liga MX U21
Sep 13, 2026Monterrey U21(away)2-1Liga MX U21
Sep 5, 2026Necaxa U21(home)0-0Liga MX U21
Aug 29, 2026Santos Laguna U21(away)0-1Liga MX U21
Toluca U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Cruz Azul U21(away)3-2Liga MX U21
Sep 20, 2026Santos Laguna U21(home)2-1Liga MX U21
Sep 12, 2026Atlas U21(home)2-0Liga MX U21
Aug 30, 2026Juarez U21(home)2-1Liga MX U21
Aug 21, 2026Queretaro U21(away)2-0Liga MX U21

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tigres UANL U21 wins, 2 draws, 0 Toluca U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 17, 2026Tigres UANL U21 2-2 Toluca U21Liga MX U21
Jul 26, 2025Toluca U21 1-1 Tigres UANL U21Liga MX U21

Last archived meeting: Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21 on Jan 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tigres UANL U21 score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tigres UANL U210.91.438/155/15
Toluca U211.81.059/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tigres UANL U21 sit 17th in Liga MX U21 (7 points from 10 matches) and Toluca U21 sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Toluca U211091019728
17Tigres UANL U21102179197

A question about Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tigres UANL U21.
Where and when is Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21 played?
Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21 is played on October 9, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga MX U21.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tigres UANL U21 and Toluca U21

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