Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 6Group 6 · Matchday 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Platonas Gligoris, Lefkas
The Footlab AI model makes Tilikratis the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Aris Filiates. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tilikratis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,556 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Tilikratis (1,612) and Aris Filiates (1,629).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tilikratis
4-3-3- 18M. Fofana
- 44D. Nguemechieu
- 11G. Niforopoulos
- 77S. Belevonis
- 17Konstantinos Zdravos
- 23G. Spanoudakis
- 3G. Rizos
- 5T. Pérez Serra
- 4K. Rougkalas
- 16Dimitris Gianniotis
- 25Michalis Pardalos
Aris Filiates
Not enough data to predict the Aris Filiates lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 12:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tilikratis have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aris Filiates have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atromitos Patras(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pallixouriakos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Panagriniakos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panegialios(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Agios Matthaios(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Plataria(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atromitos Patras(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Pallixouriakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Panagriniakos(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Panegialios(home) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Tilikratis wins, 1 draw, 1 Aris Filiates win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tilikratis 2-0 Aris Filiates | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Aris Filiates 0-1 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Tilikratis 1-0 Aris Filiates | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Tilikratis 1-1 Aris Filiates | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Aris Filiates 3-1 Tilikratis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tilikratis score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Aris Filiates score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tilikratis | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Aris Filiates | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tilikratis sit 7th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (3 points from 2 matches) and Aris Filiates sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aris Filiates | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Tilikratis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tilikratis the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Aris Filiates.
- Where and when is Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates played?
- Tilikratis vs Aris Filiates is played on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Platonas Gligoris, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.