Timor-Leste vs Mongolia: result 4-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Asia1st RoundKick-off on March 12, 2015 at 07:00 AM (UTC)Grand Hamad Stadium (Al-Arabi Stadium), ad-Dōha (Doha)
Full time
What was the result of Timor-Leste vs Mongolia?
Timor-Leste won 4-1 on March 12, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 4′ChiquitoTimor-Leste
- 7′ChiquitoTimor-Leste
- 84′165695Timor-Leste
- 85′168848Timor-Leste
- 87′E. BatmunkhMongolia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Timor-Leste have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Mongolia have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | Laos(away) | 0-2 | ASEAN Championship |
| Oct 16, 2014 | Cambodia(home) | 2-3 | ASEAN Championship |
| Oct 14, 2014 | Myanmar(away) | 0-0 | ASEAN Championship |
| Oct 12, 2014 | Brunei(home) | 4-2 | ASEAN Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2014 | Mação(away) | 2-3 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jul 23, 2014 | Guam(away) | 0-2 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Jul 21, 2014 | Northern Mariana Islands(home) | 4-0 | EAFF E-1 Football Championship |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Sri Lanka(away) | 0-3 | AFC Challenge Cup |
| Mar 4, 2013 | Afghanistan(home) | 0-1 | AFC Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Timor-Leste score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Mongolia score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timor-Leste | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Mongolia | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy