Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II: result 4-2 and analysis
USL League TwoRegular Season - 11Kick-off on July 6, 2019 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Durham County Memorial Stadium, Durham, North Carolina
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What was the result of Tobacco Road vs North Carolina II?
Tobacco Road won 4-2 on July 6, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Tobacco Road have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; North Carolina II have 3, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2019 | North Carolina Fusion(away) | 1-2 | USL League Two |
| Jun 22, 2019 | Wake(away) | 1-0 | USL League Two |
| Jun 18, 2019 | Tri-Cities(away) | 1-4 | USL League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2019 | Wake(home) | 3-1 | USL League Two |
| Jun 28, 2019 | Tri-Cities(home) | 2-1 | USL League Two |
| Jun 18, 2019 | Virginia Beach United(home) | 2-1 | USL League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Tobacco Road score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; North Carolina II score 2.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobacco Road | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| North Carolina II | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 3/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tobacco Road sit 5th in USL League Two (10 points from 12 matches) and North Carolina II sit 3rd (22 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | North Carolina II | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Tobacco Road | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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