Tocantinópolis vs Castanhal: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 7Kick-off on May 28, 2022 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio João Ribeiro, Tocantinópolis, Tocantins
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What was the result of Tocantinópolis vs Castanhal?
Tocantinópolis won 4-1 on May 28, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 12′Tiago BagabemTocantinópolis
- 63′JheimyTocantinópolis
- 72′Lusivan Fernandes dos SantosTocantinópolis
- 73′WelthonCastanhal
- 90′Lusivan Fernandes dos SantosTocantinópolis
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tocantinópolis have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Castanhal have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2022 | 4 de Julho(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| May 14, 2022 | Moto Club(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| May 11, 2022 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-4 | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 7, 2022 | Juventude MA(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Pacajus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2022 | Juventude MA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 14, 2022 | Tuna Luso(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| May 8, 2022 | 4 de Julho(away) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| May 3, 2022 | Fluminense PI(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Apr 22, 2022 | Pacajus(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Tocantinópolis score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Castanhal score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Castanhal | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tocantinópolis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy