Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 15Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK

The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,538) and Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,628).

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win31 %

Draw31 %

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

Karadeniz Ereğli BSK
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 28, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home)	0-3	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026	Orduspor 1967(home)	5-3	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	1926 Bulancak(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Çayelispor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-2 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 26, 2025	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 4-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	1.2	0.9	8	3/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?: The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?: Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.