Toledo vs Nacional PR: result 2-0 and analysis
Paranaense - 21st Phase - 4Kick-off on May 4, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo, Paraná
Full time
What was the result of Toledo vs Nacional PR?
Toledo won 2-0 on May 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 57′?Toledo
- 90′BrenoToledo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Nacional PR have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Foz Do Iguacu(home) | 0-0 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Patriotas(away) | 1-2 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Paranavaí(away) | 0-2 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Batel(home) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Batel(away) | 0-1 | Paranaense - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | PSTC Procopense(home) | 0-0 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | AA Iguaçu(home) | 3-1 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Patriotas(away) | 1-0 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Patriotas(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 2 |
| Jun 22, 2024 | Rio Branco PR(home) | 0-0 | Paranaense - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Toledo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nacional PR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2020 | Nacional PR 1-4 Toledo | Serie D |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Toledo 2-3 Nacional PR | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Nacional PR vs Toledo on Nov 21, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional PR score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Nacional PR | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toledo sit 8th in Paranaense - 2 (10 points from 9 matches) and Nacional PR sit 7th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nacional PR | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 8 | Toledo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy