Toledo vs Nacional PR: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 27, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo, Paraná
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What was the result of Toledo vs Nacional PR?
Nacional PR won 2-3 on September 27, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 25′Gustavo Ananias de OliveiraNacional PR
- 27′Kenu Leandro GonçalvesNacional PR
- 42′Saulo Pereira do NascimentoNacional PR
- 45′Danilo MariottoToledo
- 89′Danilo MariottoToledo (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 2 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nacional PR have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2020 | Portuguesa RJ(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Mar 15, 2020 | Parana(home) | 1-0 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Operario-PR(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Cascavel(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2020 | Ferroviária(home) | 1-4 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 13; Nacional PR score 1.0 and concede 4.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/13 | 3/13 |
| Nacional PR | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy