Toledo vs Parana: result 1-0 and analysis
Paranaense - 1Group Stage - 11Kick-off on March 15, 2020 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal 14 de Dezembro, Toledo, Paraná
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What was the result of Toledo vs Parana?
Toledo won 1-0 on March 15, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 55′PHToledo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 1 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Parana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Operario-PR(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Coritiba(home) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Cascavel(away) | 1-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 15, 2020 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-3 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Nautico Recife(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 7, 2020 | União PR(home) | 2-0 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Londrina(home) | 2-2 | Paranaense - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Bahia de Feira(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 22, 2020 | PSTC Procopense(away) | 0-1 | Paranaense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 11; Parana score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1 | 5/11 | 2/11 |
| Parana | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Parana | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy