Toledo vs Villacañas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo, Toledo
The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Villacañas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toledo vs Villacañas?
Toledo starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,793).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toledo vs Villacañas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toledo
Not enough data to predict the Toledo lineup.
Villacañas
Not enough data to predict the Villacañas lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toledo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Villacañas have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Almansa(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toledo wins, 0 draws, 2 Villacañas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villacañas 1-2 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Toledo 4-0 Villacañas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Villacañas 0-2 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 25, 2025 | Toledo 1-2 Villacañas | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2025 | Villacañas 1-0 Toledo | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Toledo 3-0 Villacañas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Toledo score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villacañas score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 1.7 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Villacañas | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toledo sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 5 matches) and Villacañas sit 11th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Villacañas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Toledo vs Villacañas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toledo vs Villacañas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toledo the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Villacañas.
- Where and when is Toledo vs Villacañas played?
- Toledo vs Villacañas is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Salto del Caballo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.