Tolentino vs AJ Fano: result 1-1 and analysis
Coppa Italia Serie DPreliminary RoundKick-off on September 12, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Campo Sportivo della Vittoria Tolentino, Tolentino
Full time
What was the result of Tolentino vs AJ Fano?
Tolentino and AJ Fano drew 1-1 on September 12, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tolentino have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; AJ Fano have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2020 | Pineto(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Notaresco(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Avezzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Vastogirardi(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Jesina(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2021 | Imolese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 22, 2021 | Imolese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| May 2, 2021 | Gubbio(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Triestina(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Matelica(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tolentino score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; AJ Fano score 0.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tolentino | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| AJ Fano | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy