Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21: prediction and stats
Liga MX U21Regular Season - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Atl. San Luis U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21?
Toluca U21 starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,456).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toluca U21
Not enough data to predict the Toluca U21 lineup.
Atl. San Luis U21
Not enough data to predict the Atl. San Luis U21 lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca U21 have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Atl. San Luis U21 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul U21(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santos Laguna U21(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlas U21(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Juarez U21(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Queretaro U21(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX U21 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | UNAM Pumas U21(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Necaxa U21(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Club Leon U21(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX U21 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas U21(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Monterrey U21(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX U21 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Toluca U21 wins, 0 draws, 0 Atl. San Luis U21 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Toluca U21 2-1 Atl. San Luis U21 | Liga MX U21 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Atl. San Luis U21 0-2 Toluca U21 | Liga MX U21 |
Last archived meeting: Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca U21 score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atl. San Luis U21 score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca U21 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Atl. San Luis U21 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca U21 sit 1st in Liga MX U21 (28 points from 10 matches) and Atl. San Luis U21 sit 8th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 15 |
A question about Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toluca U21 the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Atl. San Luis U21.
- Where and when is Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 played?
- Toluca U21 vs Atl. San Luis U21 is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga MX U21.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Necaxa U21vsAtlas U21
- Oct 16, 2026Atlante U21vsUNAM Pumas U21
- Oct 16, 2026Club Tijuana U21vsPuebla U21
- Oct 17, 2026Cruz Azul U21vsJuarez U21
- Oct 17, 2026Club Leon U21vsClub America U21
- Oct 17, 2026Guadalajara Chivas U21vsTigres UANL U21
- Oct 17, 2026Santos Laguna U21vsQueretaro U21
- Oct 18, 2026Monterrey U21vsPachuca U21