Toluca vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa MXGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on August 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Toluca won 1-0 on August 1, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 9′J. AgüayoToluca (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Alebrijes de Oaxaca have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2019 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 21, 2019 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| May 5, 2019 | Lobos Buap(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 28, 2019 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2019 | Club America(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2019 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 18, 2019 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Celaya(home) | 3-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 17, 2019 | Venados FC(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alebrijes de Oaxaca score 0.7 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy