Toluca vs Atlas: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 14Kick-off on April 7, 2024 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca won 4-1 on April 7, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 5′F. PereiraToluca
- 35′A. VegaToluca
- 67′J. AnguloToluca
- 87′J. LozanoAtlas
- 90′I. LópezToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Atlas have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FC Juarez(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Puebla(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Toluca 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlas | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy