Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 7, 2018 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
Toluca won 2-1 on October 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 4′A. CaneloToluca
- 10′L. UlloaCF Pachuca
- 85′L. QuiñonesToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; CF Pachuca have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Atlas(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Necaxa(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Veracruz(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2018 | Cruz Azul(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 16, 2018 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Puebla(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2017 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2017 | CF Pachuca 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2016 | Toluca 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | CF Pachuca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy