Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 13Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
Toluca won 3-2 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. AnguloToluca
- 38′J. AnguloToluca
- 45′A. VegaToluca
- 62′Pau LópezCF Pachuca (o.g.)
- 86′P. PedrazaCF Pachuca
Official lineup for Toluca vs CF Pachuca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 7J. Domínguez
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 18Pau López
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 23S. Rondón
- 197S. Hernández
- 10John Kennedy
- 27Owen de Jesús González Ojeda
- 28E. Montiel
- 6S. Homenchenko
- 8B. González
- 3A. Aceves
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 24L. Rodríguez
- 25C. Moreno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; CF Pachuca have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | Club Tijuana(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 2 CF Pachuca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Toluca 5-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 20, 2023 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2022 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Toluca 1-5 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy