Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on May 4, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
CF Pachuca won 0-1 on May 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca
Official lineup for Toluca vs CF Pachuca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 29J. Díaz
- 15P. Pérez
- 10J. Angulo
- 7S. Córdova
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 35A. Álvarez
- 25E. López
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 10E. Valencia
- 11O. Idrissi
- 28E. Montiel
- 29Kenedy
- 8V. Guzmán
- 16C. Rivera
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
- 2S. Barreto
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 14C. Sánchez
- 25C. Moreno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CF Pachuca have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 3 draws, 0 CF Pachuca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | CF Pachuca 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Toluca 2-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Toluca 5-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy