Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on May 4, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
CF Pachuca won 0-1 on May 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CF Pachuca have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santos Laguna(home) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | CF Pachuca 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Toluca 2-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Toluca 5-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy