Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 5-1 and analysis
Copa MXQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 19, 2020 at 03:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
Toluca won 5-1 on February 19, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 29′V. DávilaCF Pachuca
- 47′K. CastañedaToluca
- 57′M. EstradaToluca
- 71′M. EstradaToluca
- 74′A. CaneloToluca
- 85′K. CastañedaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CF Pachuca have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 13, 2020 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-2 | Copa MX |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Cruz Azul(home) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Atlas(home) | 3-2 | Copa MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Toluca(home) | 2-2 | Copa MX |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2020 | Venados FC(home) | 3-1 | Copa MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Copa MX |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2019 | CF Pachuca 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 7, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2017 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy