Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 4Kick-off on January 28, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca and Cruz Azul drew 1-1 on January 28, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 36′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
- 66′F. MoraCruz Azul
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cruz Azul have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | Atlas(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Jan 7, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 26, 2017 | Monarcas(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 23, 2017 | Monarcas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | Leon(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jan 14, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2017 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2017 | Club America(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cruz Azul 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 14, 2017 | Toluca 0-2 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy