Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 4, 2020 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca won 2-0 on October 4, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 24′H. OrtegaToluca
- 49′G. SauroToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Cruz Azul have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2020 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2020 | FC Juarez(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2020 | Club America(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2020 | Club Tijuana(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 10, 2020 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2020 | Atlas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2020 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca | Copa por México |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Toluca 3-3 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2019 | Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2018 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Toluca 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy