Toluca vs Cruz Azul: result 1-1 and analysis
Copa por MéxicoGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on December 23, 2022 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Cruz Azul?
Toluca and Cruz Azul drew 1-1 on December 23, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 48′E. GutiérrezCruz Azul
- 90′?Toluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cruz Azul have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Copa por México |
| Dec 14, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Copa por México |
| Oct 31, 2022 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2022 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-5 | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 2-1 | Copa por México |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Necaxa(home) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Cancún(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Monterrey(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Monterrey(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cruz Azul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2022 | Toluca 1-4 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Cruz Azul 4-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 16, 2021 | Cruz Azul 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 13, 2021 | Toluca 2-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Cruz Azul 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy