Toluca vs Leon: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2018 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Leon won 1-2 on August 26, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 7′Rodrigo Salinas DorantesToluca
- 16′P. AquinoLeon
- 45′M. BoselliLeon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leon have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2018 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 5, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2018 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2018 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2018 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2018 | Monterrey(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | Leon 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Toluca 3-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Mar 19, 2017 | Leon 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Toluca 1-1 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Leon | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy