Toluca vs Leon: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca and Leon drew 1-1 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′M. BoselliLeon (pen.)
- 35′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Leon
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-4-2- 9A. Vega
- 26E. Trejo
- 20F. Uribe
- 11C. Esquivel
- 15Antonio Ríos Martínez
- 6Ó. Rojas
- 24Pablo César Barrientos
- 5O. González
- 33G. Flores
- 4P. Da Silva
- 1A. Talavera
Leon
4-2-3-1- 9G. Cano
- 17M. Boselli
- 20Leonel López
- 13A. Mejía
- 8E. Hernández
- 10L. Montes
- 6D. Novaretti
- 3G. Burdisso
- 5F. Navarro
- 2E. Velarde
- 25W. Yarbrough
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Leon have 3, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Club America(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 10; Leon score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Leon | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Leon sit 5th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Toluca vs Leon?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy