Toluca vs Leon: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca and Leon drew 1-1 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′M. BoselliLeon (pen.)
- 35′Pablo César BarrientosToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Leon have 3, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2016 | Cruz Azul(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Monarcas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Veracruz(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2016 | Jaguares de Chiapas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Club America(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Atlas(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 28, 2016 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2016 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 10; Leon score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Leon | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 3/10 | 4/10 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Leon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy