Toluca vs Lobos Buap: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 12, 2017 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Lobos Buap?
Toluca won 3-1 on October 12, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 14′A. CaneloToluca
- 52′O. GonzálezToluca
- 65′A. VegaToluca
- 90′D. JiménezLobos Buap
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Lobos Buap have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2017 | Club America(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2017 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 10, 2017 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Puebla(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2017 | Leon(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Veracruz(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Monarcas(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lobos Buap score 1.7 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Lobos Buap | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy