Toluca vs Mazatlán: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 2Kick-off on January 20, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Mazatlán?
Toluca won 4-1 on January 20, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 16′A. MontañoMazatlán (pen.)
- 37′C. BaezaToluca
- 61′J. MenesesToluca
- 86′J. MenesesToluca
- 90′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mazatlán have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Monterrey(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Toluca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mazatlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Toluca 2-2 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mazatlán score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Mazatlán | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy