Toluca vs Mazatlán: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 11Kick-off on March 12, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Mazatlán?
Toluca won 4-1 on March 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 25′C. GonzálezToluca
- 38′N. BenedettiMazatlán
- 45′I. LópezToluca
- 48′M. AraújoToluca
- 83′Camilo SanvezzoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Mazatlán have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | Club Queretaro(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Santos Laguna(away) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 20, 2023 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Atlanta United FC(away) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Cruz Azul(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 25, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2023 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Puebla(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Mazatlán win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Mazatlán 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2021 | Toluca 2-2 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Aug 8, 2020 | Mazatlán 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mazatlán score 1.1 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Mazatlán | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy