Toluca vs Minnesota United FC: result 2-2 and analysis
Leagues CupRound of 16Kick-off on August 9, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Allianz Field, Saint Paul, Minnesota
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Minnesota United FC?
Toluca and Minnesota United FC drew 2-2 on August 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. RosalesMinnesota United FC
- 32′B. HlongwaneMinnesota United FC
- 66′V. HuertaToluca
- 75′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
- 120′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
- 120′E. ReynosoMinnesota United FC (pen.)
- 120′M. BoxallMinnesota United FC (pen.)
- 120′C. BaezaToluca (pen.)
- 120′W. TrappMinnesota United FC (pen.)
- 120′Jeong Sang-BinMinnesota United FC (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Minnesota United FC have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Nashville SC(away) | 4-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 16, 2023 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Columbus Crew(away) | 3-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 28, 2023 | Chicago Fire(home) | 2-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Puebla(away) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 3-0 | Major League Soccer |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United FC score 1.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Minnesota United FC | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy