Toluca vs Monterrey: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 9Kick-off on August 18, 2022 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca and Monterrey drew 1-1 on August 18, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 27′L. FernándezToluca
- 71′R. AguirreMonterrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Monterrey have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Juarez(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2022 | Necaxa(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Leon(home) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 31, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Club Queretaro(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Toluca 1-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy