Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 22, 2018 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-2 on September 22, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 41′S. CórdovaNecaxa
- 50′Rodrigo Salinas DorantesToluca
- 60′L. QuiñonesToluca
- 80′A. VegaToluca
- 88′Matías Ariel Fernández FernándezNecaxa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Necaxa have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2018 | Veracruz(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 23, 2018 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2018 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 22, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Puebla(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | Necaxa 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2017 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2016 | Necaxa 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy