Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 3Kick-off on August 3, 2026 at 01:10 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-1 on August 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′I. LópezToluca
- 42′J. CarranzaNecaxa
- 45′E. LópezToluca
- 57′L. JiménezToluca (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Necaxa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-3 | Campeón de Campeones |
| Jul 22, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 31, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| May 10, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Monarcas(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Necaxa 0-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Toluca 3-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Toluca 5-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Necaxa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy