Toluca vs Necaxa: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 14Kick-off on October 21, 2021 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca and Necaxa drew 1-1 on October 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 52′A. ZendejasNecaxa
- 56′O. VanegasToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Necaxa have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2021 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | Puebla(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 28, 2021 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2021 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Atlas(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2019 | Necaxa 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Toluca 3-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Necaxa | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy