Toluca vs Puebla: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 14, 2025 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca won 3-1 on September 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′F. PereiraToluca
- 80′J. GallardoToluca
- 86′F. MonárrezPuebla (pen.)
- 89′O. VirgenToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Puebla
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 31R. Morales
- 9A. Vega
- 8N. Castro
- 10J. Angulo
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Puebla
5-4-1- 17E. Lozano
- 11E. Gómez
- 6N. Díaz
- 18Pablo Gamarra
- 24A. Organista
- 7F. Monárrez
- 4E. Orona
- 2J. Fedorco
- 192Eduardo Navarro
- 14J. Rivas
- 1J. González
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Puebla have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Orlando City SC(home) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 17, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Badajoz(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 1 Puebla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla 0-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Toluca 5-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Puebla 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Toluca 0-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 0.9 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Puebla | 0.9 | 2.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Puebla sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Toluca vs Puebla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy