Toluca vs Puebla: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on August 27, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca won 2-1 on August 27, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 39′F. MicoltaPuebla
- 57′M. PergToluca
- 73′F. UribeToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Puebla
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 20F. Uribe
- 11C. Esquivel
- 25A. Canelo
- 15Antonio Ríos Martínez
- 14R. Sambueza
- 18R. López
- 4M. Perg
- 3S. García
- 29Rodrigo Salinas Dorantes
- 2E. Velarde
- 22L. García
Puebla
5-3-2- 7A. Escoboza
- 13C. Marrugo
- 10F. Micolta
- 28Francisco Javier Torres Zamores
- 5P. Araújo
- 14É. Pimentel
- 17A. Zamora
- 27H. Rodríguez
- 12Óscar Adrián Rojas Castillón
- 2B. Angulo
- 23M. Muñoz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Puebla have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2017 | Monterrey(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Necaxa(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Atlas(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Leon(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2017 | Leon(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Veracruz(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2017 | Monarcas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Toluca win, 0 draws, 1 Puebla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | Toluca 1-3 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Puebla | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Puebla sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Toluca vs Puebla?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy