Toluca vs Puebla: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 7Kick-off on August 27, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca won 2-1 on August 27, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 39′F. MicoltaPuebla
- 57′M. PergToluca
- 73′F. UribeToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Puebla have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2017 | Monterrey(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Necaxa(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Atlas(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Leon(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2017 | Leon(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 20, 2017 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Club Tijuana(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 6, 2017 | Veracruz(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2017 | Monarcas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | Toluca 1-3 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 0.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Puebla | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy