Toluca vs Puebla: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 16Kick-off on August 3, 2022 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca and Puebla drew 1-1 on August 3, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 17′O. FernándezPuebla
- 82′A. MosqueraToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Puebla have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2022 | FC Juarez(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 14, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Atlas(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2022 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Monterrey(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Jul 9, 2022 | Santos Laguna(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Puebla 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Toluca 4-4 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Puebla 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Puebla | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy