Toluca vs Santos Laguna: result 4-3 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on October 14, 2022 at 12:06 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Santos Laguna?
Toluca won 4-3 on October 14, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 4′C. GonzálezToluca
- 6′Camilo SanvezzoToluca
- 30′F. GorriaránSantos Laguna (pen.)
- 38′H. PreciadoSantos Laguna
- 49′E. AguirreSantos Laguna
- 73′Camilo SanvezzoToluca
- 90′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Santos Laguna have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 8, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2022 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2022 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Club America(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Club Queretaro(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 7, 2022 | Necaxa(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Santos Laguna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Santos Laguna 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2021 | Santos Laguna 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Toluca 1-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Toluca 2-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Toluca vs Santos Laguna on Jul 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 17th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy