Tomares vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares
The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tomares wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomares vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Tomares (1,767) and Ceuta II (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tomares vs Ceuta II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tomares
Not enough data to predict the Tomares lineup.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ceuta II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Egabrense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tomares win, 2 draws, 3 Ceuta II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II 0-1 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tomares 0-2 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Ceuta II 2-1 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Tomares 2-2 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ceuta II 3-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 2, 2022 | Tomares 1-1 Ceuta II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tomares score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ceuta II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomares | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ceuta II | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomares sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 6 matches) and Ceuta II sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tomares | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Ceuta II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Tomares vs Ceuta II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is Tomares vs Ceuta II played?
- Tomares vs Ceuta II is played on January 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.