Tomares vs Conil: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares
The Footlab model makes Tomares the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Conil. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomares vs Conil?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Tomares (1,738) and Conil (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Conil have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ceuta II(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bollullos(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castilleja(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tomares win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Conil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Tomares 1-2 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Conil 2-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Conil 0-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tomares 1-0 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Conil 2-1 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Tomares 0-1 Conil | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tomares score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Conil score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomares | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Conil | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomares sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (39 points from 34 matches) and Conil sit 8th (52 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 44 | 52 |
| 15 | Tomares | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 46 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Conil?
- The Footlab model makes Tomares the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Conil.
- Where and when is Tomares vs Conil played?
- Tomares vs Conil is played on April 18, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.