Tomares vs Utrera: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, Tomares
The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Utrera. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tomares wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomares vs Utrera?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Tomares (1,763) and Utrera (1,819).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tomares vs Utrera
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tomares
Not enough data to predict the Tomares lineup.
Utrera
Not enough data to predict the Utrera lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomares have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Utrera have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Córdoba II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Linense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Linense(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Conil(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tomares wins, 0 draws, 6 Utrera wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Tomares 0-1 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Utrera 2-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tomares 1-3 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Utrera 1-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | Utrera 1-0 Tomares | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Tomares 1-3 Utrera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tomares score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Utrera score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomares | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Utrera | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomares sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (11 points from 6 matches) and Utrera sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Utrera | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Tomares | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
A question about Tomares vs Utrera?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomares vs Utrera?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tomares the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Utrera.
- Where and when is Tomares vs Utrera played?
- Tomares vs Utrera is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal San Sebastián, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.