Tombense vs Caxias: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 30, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Antônio Guimarães de Almeida, Tombos, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Tombense vs Caxias?
Tombense won 1-0 on May 30, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 90′Valdo BacabalTombense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tombense have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Caxias have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2015 | Madureira(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| May 16, 2015 | Tupi(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 16, 2014 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Brasil DE Pelotas(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Nov 2, 2014 | Confiança(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2015 | Juventude(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| May 17, 2015 | Madureira(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 4, 2014 | Macaé(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Madureira(home) | 2-2 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Tombense score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caxias score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Caxias | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Caxias | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy