Tombense vs Retrô: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on March 9, 2023 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estádio Soares de Azevedo, Muriaé, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Tombense vs Retrô?
Tombense won 1-0 on March 9, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 84′Alex SandroTombense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tombense have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Retrô have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-3 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Villa Nova(home) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Caucaia(away) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Democrata SL(home) | 2-2 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Pouso Alegre(away) | 1-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Petrolina(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2023 | Avai(home) | 3-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Afogados(away) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Porto(home) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tombense score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Retrô score 1.7 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tombense | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Retrô | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy