Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac: prediction and stats
1st League - FBiHFBiH - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Tomislavgrad, Tomislavgrad
The Footlab AI model makes Zvijezda Gradačac the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tomislav. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zvijezda Gradačac wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Tomislav (1,293) and Zvijezda Gradačac (1,359).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tomislav
Not enough data to predict the Tomislav lineup.
Zvijezda Gradačac
Not enough data to predict the Zvijezda Gradačac lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tomislav have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Zvijezda Gradačac have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Budućnost Banovići(home) | 2-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FK Sarajevo(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Posušje(home) | 1-3 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Vitez(away) | 1-2 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rudar Kakanj(home) | 1-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rudar Kakanj(away) | 6-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Velež(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Čapljina(home) | 4-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Igman Konjic(away) | 0-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bratstvo Gračanica(home) | 0-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tomislav wins, 1 draw, 1 Zvijezda Gradačac win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Zvijezda Gradačac 0-1 Tomislav | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Tomislav 1-0 Zvijezda Gradačac | 1st League - FBiH |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Tomislav 1-0 Zvijezda Gradačac | 1st League - FBiH |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Zvijezda Gradačac 1-1 Tomislav | 1st League - FBiH |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Zvijezda Gradačac 4-1 Tomislav | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 25, 2022 | Zvijezda Gradačac 1-2 Tomislav | 1st League - FBiH |
Last archived meeting: Zvijezda Gradačac vs Tomislav on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tomislav score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zvijezda Gradačac score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomislav | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Zvijezda Gradačac | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tomislav sit 13th in 1st League - FBiH (11 points from 12 matches) and Zvijezda Gradačac sit 10th (14 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Zvijezda Gradačac | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 14 |
| 13 | Tomislav | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 11 |
A question about Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zvijezda Gradačac the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Tomislav.
- Where and when is Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac played?
- Tomislav vs Zvijezda Gradačac is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tomislavgrad, in the 1st League - FBiH.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.