Match

Tormenta vs Union Omaha: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

TormentaUnion Omaha

The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Union Omaha. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tormenta vs Union Omaha?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Tormenta (1,741) and Union Omaha (1,831).

Tormenta win40 %
Draw24 %
Union Omaha win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tormenta have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Union Omaha have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tormenta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 3, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)0-0USL League One
Oct 25, 2025Texoma(home)3-0USL League One
Oct 18, 2025Greenville Triumph(away)4-1USL League One
Oct 12, 2025Spokane Velocity(away)1-1USL League One
Oct 3, 2025Westchester SC(home)3-1USL League One
Union Omaha
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sarasota Paradise(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Richmond Kickers(home)5-1USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)3-1USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Fort Wayne(away)2-0USL League One
Jul 22, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-1USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tormenta win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Union Omaha win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2025Union Omaha 1-2 TormentaUSL League One
Mar 29, 2025Tormenta 1-3 Union OmahaUSL League One
Oct 19, 2024Tormenta 2-3 Union OmahaUSL League One
May 5, 2024Union Omaha 4-2 TormentaUSL League One
Oct 7, 2023Tormenta 0-4 Union OmahaUSL League One
Jul 30, 2023Union Omaha 3-2 TormentaUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Union Omaha vs Tormenta on Jul 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Union Omaha score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tormenta2.31.2410/1512/15
Union Omaha2.11.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Union Omaha221435402445

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tormenta vs Union Omaha?
The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Union Omaha.
Where and when is Tormenta vs Union Omaha played?
Tormenta vs Union Omaha is played on October 4, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tormenta Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tormenta and Union Omaha

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