Toronto FC vs Atlético Ottawa: result 1-3 and analysis
Canadian ChampionshipPreliminaryKick-off on May 5, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
Full time
What was the result of Toronto FC vs Atlético Ottawa?
Atlético Ottawa won 1-3 on May 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 16′D. KerrToronto FC
- 71′B. TablaAtlético Ottawa
- 81′B. TablaAtlético Ottawa
- 90′B. TablaAtlético Ottawa (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toronto FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Atlético Ottawa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Austin(home) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 11, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | York United(away) | 1-4 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Vancouver FC(home) | 1-1 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Supra du Quebec(away) | 1-0 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cavalry FC(away) | 1-3 | Canadian Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Forge(away) | 0-2 | Canadian Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Toronto FC score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Ottawa score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Ottawa | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy