Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati: result 0-1 and analysis
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 13Kick-off on May 14, 2025 at 11:30 PM (UTC)BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario
Full time
What was the result of Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
FC Cincinnati won 0-1 on May 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toronto FC have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | DC United(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| May 3, 2025 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 30, 2025 | CF Montreal(home) | 2-2 | Canadian Championship |
| Apr 26, 2025 | New York City FC(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Austin(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| May 4, 2025 | New York City FC(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Chicago Fire(away) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 12, 2025 | DC United(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toronto FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 FC Cincinnati win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| May 25, 2024 | Toronto FC 3-4 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 25, 2024 | FC Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Toronto FC 2-3 FC Cincinnati | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 21, 2023 | FC Cincinnati 3-0 Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
| May 4, 2022 | FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Toronto FC score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Cincinnati | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toronto FC sit 11th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 20 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 5th (30 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 46 | 30 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 36 | 21 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- May 14, 2025Orlando City SC3-1Charlotte
- May 14, 2025Philadelphia Union3-2Los Angeles Galaxy
- May 14, 2025CF Montreal1-1Columbus Crew
- May 14, 2025DC United0-0New York City FC
- May 15, 2025Nashville SC2-1New York Red Bulls
- May 15, 2025Houston Dynamo2-0Minnesota United FC
- May 15, 2025St. Louis City2-2Sporting Kansas City
- May 15, 2025Austin1-1Atlanta United FC