TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 26Kick-off on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 76%, against 19% for a draw and 5% for AS New Soger. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,916 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,945 Elo points against 1,532, a 413-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 37P. Mwamba
- 30Christian Ibwa Ise
- 33A. Faty
AS New Soger
Not enough data to predict the AS New Soger lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 07:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; AS New Soger have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | CS Manika(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Don Bosco(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Groupe Bazano(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 TP Mazembe wins, 1 draw, 0 AS New Soger wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | TP Mazembe 0-0 AS New Soger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; AS New Soger score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 24% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| AS New Soger | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | AS New Soger | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 76%, against 19% for a draw and 5% for AS New Soger.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger played?
- TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger is played on March 10, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.