TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 8Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 72%, against 22% for a draw and 6% for Lubumbashi Sport. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,715 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,963 Elo points against 1,569, a 395-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 37P. Mwamba
- 30Christian Ibwa Ise
- 33A. Faty
Lubumbashi Sport
Not enough data to predict the Lubumbashi Sport lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Lubumbashi Sport have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Malole(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Blessing(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Panda B5(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 TP Mazembe wins, 1 draw, 0 Lubumbashi Sport wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Lubumbashi Sport 0-2 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 27, 2025 | TP Mazembe 1-0 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TP Mazembe 4-0 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Lubumbashi Sport 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| May 4, 2024 | Lubumbashi Sport 0-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TP Mazembe 5-0 Lubumbashi Sport | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lubumbashi Sport vs TP Mazembe on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lubumbashi Sport score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 25% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Lubumbashi Sport | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 13th in Ligue 1 (1 point from 1 match) and Lubumbashi Sport sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lubumbashi Sport | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | TP Mazembe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 72%, against 22% for a draw and 6% for Lubumbashi Sport.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport played?
- TP Mazembe vs Lubumbashi Sport is played on December 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.