TP Mazembe vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 18Kick-off on February 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 71%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for Simba. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Simba?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,641, a 319-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Simba have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 TP Mazembe wins, 1 draw, 1 Simba win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2026 | TP Mazembe 4-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| May 18, 2026 | Simba 0-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 | TP Mazembe 3-0 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Simba 1-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | TP Mazembe 2-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Simba 1-0 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Simba | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and Simba sit 4th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 71%, against 21% for a draw and 8% for Simba.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Simba played?
- TP Mazembe vs Simba is played on February 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.