Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Foresters Park, Tranent
The Footlab model makes Tranent Juniors the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?
Tranent Juniors is a heavy favourite: 1,717 Elo points against 1,414, a 303-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranent Juniors have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Gala Fairydean Rovers have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(away) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stirling University(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bo'ness United(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stranraer(away) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 0-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Linlithgow Rose(away) | 0-5 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bo'ness United(home) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Tranent Juniors win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Gala Fairydean Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tranent Juniors 2-1 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-3 Tranent Juniors | Football League - Lowland League |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-2 Tranent Juniors | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 3, 2024 | Tranent Juniors 7-0 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Gala Fairydean Rovers 0-2 Tranent Juniors | Football League - Lowland League |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Tranent Juniors 2-1 Gala Fairydean Rovers | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tranent Juniors score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gala Fairydean Rovers score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranent Juniors | 1.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Gala Fairydean Rovers | 1.7 | 1.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranent Juniors sit 3rd in Football League - Lowland League (15 points from 5 matches) and Gala Fairydean Rovers sit 28th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tranent Juniors | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
| 28 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes Tranent Juniors the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Gala Fairydean Rovers.
- Where and when is Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers played?
- Tranent Juniors vs Gala Fairydean Rovers is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Foresters Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jul 25, 2026Auchinleck Talbot6-0Dalbeattie Star
- Jul 25, 2026Hill Of Beath Hawthorn1-2East Stirlingshire
- Jul 25, 2026Linlithgow Rose1-1Civil Service Strollers
- Jul 25, 2026Lochee United1-1Berwick Rangers
- Jul 25, 2026Gretna 20082-3Caledonian Braves
- Jul 25, 2026Stirling University0-1Broxburn Athletic
- Jul 25, 2026Bo'ness United1-2Tranent Juniors
- Jul 25, 2026Cowdenbeath0-1Gala Fairydean Rovers