Trapani 1905 vs Licata: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, Trapani
The Footlab model makes Trapani 1905 the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trapani 1905 vs Licata?
Trapani 1905 starts as the favourite with a 176-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trapani 1905 have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Licata have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Siracusa(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cosenza(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Salernitana(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Apr 4, 2026 | SS Monopoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Foggia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | CastrumFavara(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2025 | Nissa(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Pompei(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Sambiase(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Paternò(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trapani 1905 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Licata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Licata 1-2 Trapani 1905 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Licata 2-2 Trapani 1905 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Trapani 1905 2-1 Licata | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Trapani 1905 0-4 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
Last archived meeting: Trapani 1905 vs Licata on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Trapani 1905 score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Licata score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trapani 1905 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Licata | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trapani 1905 vs Licata?
- The Footlab model makes Trapani 1905 the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Licata.
- Where and when is Trapani 1905 vs Licata played?
- Trapani 1905 vs Licata is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.