Treaty United vs Kerry: result 1-1 and analysis
First DivisionRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Markets Field, Limerick
Full time
What was the result of Treaty United vs Kerry?
Treaty United and Kerry drew 1-1 on August 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 65′P. FerryTreaty United
- 85′B. LynchKerry (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Treaty United have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kerry have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | Bray Wanderers(away) | 2-3 | First Division |
| Jul 25, 2025 | Athlone Town(away) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Derry City(home) | 1-5 | FAI Cup |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2025 | UCD(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 4-0 | First Division |
| Jul 25, 2025 | UCD(home) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Jul 18, 2025 | Athlone Town(home) | 2-1 | FAI Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Longford Town(away) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Dundalk(home) | 0-4 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Treaty United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kerry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Kerry 1-0 Treaty United | First Division |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Treaty United 3-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Treaty United 1-1 Kerry | First Division |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Kerry 2-1 Treaty United | First Division |
| Apr 12, 2024 | Treaty United 0-0 Kerry | First Division |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Kerry 0-1 Treaty United | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Kerry vs Treaty United on May 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Treaty United score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kerry score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treaty United | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kerry | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Treaty United sit 10th in First Division (16 points from 20 matches) and Kerry sit 8th (22 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kerry | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 36 |
| 8 | Kerry | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 22 |
| 9 | Treaty United | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 41 | 30 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 33 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy